• August 8th, 2016 | by Gregg S. Fisher, CFA, "Invest with Reason"

    Analyst Errors and Investment Strategies: Can Investors Turn Bias into Benefit?

    Gerstein Fisher recently conducted research into the relationship between securities analysts’ long-term growth forecasts and actual stock performance. The research uncovered a pattern of systematic biases within analyst forecasts in fundamental or “hard” growth estimates. We believe that these systematic errors can be exploited through a quantitative, factor-based approach to investing. How useful are security […]

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  • July 12th, 2016 | by Gregg S. Fisher, CFA, "Invest with Reason"

    An Investor’s Cheat Sheet for Market Losses

    “Brexit” has many investors concerned about the potential for a severe market correction. Gerstein Fisher examined nearly a century and a half of equity market data to examine patterns around past market corrections and recoveries. The study found that corrections of 20% or more happened about once a decade over the period; 30%+ declines occurred […]

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  • June 1st, 2016 | by Gregg S. Fisher, CFA, "Invest with Reason"

    US Stocks, Foreign Stocks—or Both?

    The outperformance of US equities in recent years has made many investors skeptical of foreign securities. As with other asset classes, US and foreign stocks often move in different cycles that can begin and end unpredictably. Both common sense and research dictate that investors should hedge bets and hold a global portfolio. My colleague Andrew […]

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  • May 23rd, 2016 | by Andrew Tanzer, CFA, "The Global Equation"

    Globalization: Past, Present, and Future

    As workers, consumers, citizens, and investors, we are all increasingly feeling the winds of globalization. This blog series seeks to identify, analyze and interpret major global economic themes of interest to investors that are missed, misunderstood, or inadequately analyzed by the media. This inaugural entry places today’s phase of globalization on a continuum that has […]

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  • May 5th, 2016 | by Adrienne and Gregg S. Fisher, CFA, "Invest with Reason"

    When Is a “7% Return” Not a 7% Return? Answer: Most of the Time

    Let’s say you make a $100,000 investment in stocks that compounds at 7% per year (which is not far from what US equities have historically returned), and you hold onto that portfolio for 25 years without adding or withdrawing funds. For the sake of argument, let’s assume the return is constant, never deviating from 7% […]

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